Wednesday, February 14, 2018

SIGNS OF THE END: Long-duration C1.5 solar flare produced Earth-directed CME

Long-duration C1.5 solar flare produced Earth-directed CME

LATEST EYE OPENING EARTH CHANGES AND FIREBALLS WITHIN

INCLUDES VIDEO OF FORMER White House national space policy advisor speaking on all of the calamities we are seeing

A long-duration C1.5 solar flare erupted from geoeffective Active Region 2699 on February 12, 2018. The event started at 00:15, peaked at 01:35 and ended at 03:21 UTC. A G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm watch is in effect for February 15.

This event produced an asymmetric halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME), first observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 01:25 UTC.
WSA/ENLIL model analysis of this event indicates a glancing blow late February 14 to early February 15. Current background solar wind speeds are slower than routine model predictions, so the forecast arrival timing of the CME has been slowed from the WSA-Enlil CME model run prediction.
A G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm watch is now in effect for February 15, 2018, in response associated with the arrival of this CME.
C1.5 solar flare on February 12, 2018

G1 = Minor geomagnetic storm watch in effect for February 15

There is a chance for C-class flares with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare (15%) over the next three days due to the flare potential of Region 2699.

Sunspots on February 13, 2018. Credit: ESA PROBA2/SWAP

A glancing blow from the February 12^th CME combined with Co-Rotating Interaction Region (CIR) effects in advance of a negative polarity CH HSS is expected to arrive late February 14 through early February 15. Active levels are expected late on February 14 with unsettled to G1 - Minor storm levels likely on February 15.

John L. Casey discussing the Grand Solar Minimum, earthquakes and more

The Grand Solar Minimum Channel on YouTube interviewed author John L. Casey, a former White House national space policy advisor, NASA headquarters consultant & space shuttle engineer.
In this interview, John discloses the truth about ominous changes taking place in the climate and the Sun. GSM features a sobering look at the Earth's future, digging through the complex science and connecting the varying factors that contribute to our changing climate.
This is the last interview John Casey had before his stroke.

Mr. John L. Casey. IEVPC Co-Founder and Director.
Mr. Casey is also President of Veritence, Inc., a science and engineering consulting company and Veritence Publishing, Inc. a company established to aid scientists, nature and science-fiction authors to get their books published. He was, previous to 2015, the President of the Space and Science Research Corporation (SSRC), a leading climate science research organization. Mr. Casey is a former White House space program advisor, NASA Headquarters and Congressional Consultant and was a Senior Field Engineer on the Space Shuttle program.
He is a leading researcher on the science of solar activity cycles and their impacts on climate change and associated catastrophic geophysical events (CGE), including earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions. He is also the author of the widely acclaimed climate science books including the 2011 climate book “Cold Sun,” its 2014 remake and natiowide best seller, "Dark Winter," and the December 12, 2016 book "Upheaval! - Why Catastrophic Earthquakes Will Soon Strike the United States."

Earthquake swarm under dormant Furnas volcano, Azores

More than 100 earthquakes were registered under dormant Furnas volcano on the island of Sao Miguel, the Azores on February 11 and 12, 2018. The last eruption of this volcano was in 1630 (VEI 5). It was one of the largest Holocene explosive eruptions in the Azores and caused significant damage and fatalities.
The earthquake swarm, located between the lagoons of Fogo and Congro, started at 22:47 UTC on February 11 and counted more than 100 events over the next 6 hours.
It continued on February 12 with around 30 of them strong enough to be felt by the local population. The strongest registered was M3.1 at 07:18 UTC
Furnas volcano earthquake swarm February 12, 2018

Furnas volcano earthquake swarm February 12, 2018

The Azores Center for Seismovolcanic Information and Surveillance (CIVISA) reported at 18:30 UTC on February 12 that seismic activity in the central part of the island of Sao Miguel remains above reference values, although in the last hours it has been showing a decreasing trend.
At 09:00 UTC today, CIVISA said that seismic activity remains slightly above reference values, maintaining a downward trend, with occasional higher energy releases.
It is unclear at this time whether the earthquakes are seismic or volcanic in origin, indicating a possible reawakening of the volcanic system.
The last eruptive episode of this volcano started on September 3, 1630 and ended on November 2 of the same year. This was a powerful eruption with Volcanic Explosivity Index of 5 that caused significant damage and fatalities.

A supervolcano near Japan seems to be building up for an eruption

https://www.msn.com/en-us/video/tunedin/a-supervolcano-near-japan-seems-to-be-building-up-for-an-eruption/vi-BBJ8EUW?ocid=spartanntp

Mount Agung erupts ash 4.5 km a.s.l., Alert Level remains at 3

Posted by TW on February 13, 2018 in category Volcanoes

Mount Agung erupted at 03:49 UTC on February 13, 2018, ejecting a column of ash up to 4.5 km (15 000 feet) above sea level, that's 1.5 km (5 000 feet) above the crater. The eruption comes two days after authorities lowered Alert Level from 4 to 3, the second highest.
At this point, ash is not affecting flights in Bali and the Aviation Color Code remains at Orange.
Seismic activity under the volcano is dominated by low-frequency earthquakes related to steam and gas emission on the crater. Some high-frequency volcanic earthquakes are still recorded, indicating that magma movement inside the volcano remains active, however with low intensity.
The eruption comes two days after authorities lowered Alert Level from 4 to 3, the second highest, as several indicators showed a drastic decrease in activity in the past month.
More than 140 000 people living around Agung were evacuated after its alert level was raised to 4 on September 22, 2017. With the alert level now at 3, all villagers with homes outside of the 4 km (2.5 miles) radius can return.
"People’s activities, as well as tourism in Bali, has been declared safe and there will be no more disruption related to the volcano at this time," Ignasius Jonan, the minister of energy and natural resources, said.

Earthquakes under Mount Agung, Bali, Indonesia from November 15 to February 7, 2018. Credit: MAGMA Indonesia

Geological summary

Symmetrical Agung stratovolcano, Bali's highest and most sacred mountain, towers over the eastern end of the island. The volcano, whose name means "Paramount," rises above the SE caldera rim of neighboring Batur volcano, and the northern and southern flanks of Agung extend to the coast.
The 3142-m-high (10 308 feet) summit contains a steep-walled, 500-m-wide (1 640 feet), 200-m-deep (656 feet) crater. The flank cone Pawon is located low on the SE side.
Only a few eruptions dating back to the early 19^th century have been recorded in historical time. The 1963-64 eruption, one of the world's largest of the 20^th century, produced voluminous ashfall along with devastating pyroclastic flows and lahars that caused extensive damage and many fatalities. (GVP)